Research from our desk.
Market and economic commentary from Whalen Financial Research. Browse the latest below, or subscribe to get it in your inbox.
The State of Play: The 5% Club
Happy Monday, everyone! Now that’s how you get a Monday rolling! The 10-year Treasury crossed 5% this morning, Brent is still above $100, and Kevin Warsh gets…
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THE REGIME LETTER: One Hike Doesn’t Break the Map
Howdy everyone! Hope you’ve been able to navigate this week, because there’s been a lot going on. Between remembering 9/11, another batch of economic data, and…
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The State of Play: Summer’s Over and Here Comes the Data.
Happy Monday, everyone! Can you smell it? Seasons are changin, the kids are back in school, and it’s almost the official get yourself back to work season. So…
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The Monday State of Play: PCE Gets the First Swing
Happy Monday, everyone! So, if you’re one of those hoping for a nice quiet dog-days of August week where everyone sneaks out early and pretends Labor Day has…
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The State of Play
Weekend Recap Happy Monday everyone! I don’t know about you, but I love it when the pieces of a puzzle start falling into place and you can finally begin to…
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The State of Play: Did Oil Just Crash CPI Week?
Happy Monday, everyone. Thanks for reading! for free to receive new posts and support my work. Ok, so if you read my piece from Friday, you know I was looking…
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The Regime Letter: The Economy Has to Hum First
Howdy everyone, and happy Friday. So am I alone or is anyone else feeling some of the shifts taking place just below the surface of the economy? Now maybe this…
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The State of Play: Receipts, Rates and Reacceleration
Happy Tuesday, everyone. So a funny thing happened on my way to hit the send button. Palantir and Caterpillar decided to blow out numbers and i figured that…
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The Regime Letter: Buy American, Eventually
Happy Friday, everyone! Now THAT was kooky week. We had a little war, a little bond market rebellion, some hedge fund drama, a little earnings drama, and…
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The Monday State of Play: The Yen Threw a Punch. Nobody Flinched.
Happy Monday, everyone! Now I know what you’re thinking, “what the heck does the yen have to do with me?” and i totally understand that. The yen usually isn’t…
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The Monday State of Play: The Market Can’t Pick a Story
Happy Monday, everyone. Hope you all had a fantastic weekend and caught at least some of the World Cup final between Spain and Argentina, because that one got…
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The Monday State of Play: The Ceasefire Had a Short Shelf Life
Thanks for reading! for free to receive new posts and support my work. Happy Monday, everyone! Well, that didn’t take long. The ceasefire is already over, the…
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The Regime Letter: From Wall Street to Main Street
Howdy everyone! Hope you’re all enjoying the part of the cycle where everyone’s portfolio looks smart and nobody’s paycheck does. That pretty much captures the…
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The State of Play: Euphoria Meets the Plumbing
Trump rang the opening bell from the Oval Office this morning alongside the heads of the NYSE and Nasdaq, promoted the new Trump Accounts for children, and…
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The State of Play: A Short Week With a Long Fuse
Happy Monday, everyone. We’re getting off to a solid start, but this is one of those short weeks where the calendar looks lighter than the actual risk. Labor…
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The Regime Letter: Studying the Wreckage Without Buying the Wreck
Howdy everyone, Well, that was a week. A little bit of everything, and I’m not sure we’re all that much changed from where we were a week ago. So grab your…
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The State of Play: The Rotation Under the Hood
The Index Looks Tired, But the Tape Is Getting More Interesting Howdy everyone! Hope you all had a fantastic weekend. So I spent some time thinking about…
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The State of Play: The Fed Week Reset
Happy Monday everyone! Lot’s going on this week so let’s jump right in. So we’re heading into Wednesday’s Fed decision with the market acting like it still…
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THE REGIME LETTER: The Market Is Looking for the Wrong Backstop
“The market tells you everything. You just have to listen.” Howdy everyone, ok so I’m back from a brief hiatus, energized and ready to go, and there’s no…
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The Monday State of Play
Happy Monday everyone! Ok, so I spent a little time trying to come up with scenario that could help me describe what I’m seeing in the markets today and this…
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