Market Research

Research from our desk.

Market and economic commentary from Whalen Financial Research. Browse the latest below, or subscribe to get it in your inbox.

Subscribe on Substack
Aug 24, 2026

The Monday State of Play: PCE Gets the First Swing

Happy Monday, everyone! So, if you’re one of those hoping for a nice quiet dog-days of August week where everyone sneaks out early and pretends Labor Day has…

Read on Substack
Aug 17, 2026

The State of Play

Weekend Recap Happy Monday everyone! I don’t know about you, but I love it when the pieces of a puzzle start falling into place and you can finally begin to…

Read on Substack
Aug 10, 2026

The State of Play: Did Oil Just Crash CPI Week?

Happy Monday, everyone. Thanks for reading! for free to receive new posts and support my work. Ok, so if you read my piece from Friday, you know I was looking…

Read on Substack
Aug 7, 2026

The Regime Letter: The Economy Has to Hum First

Howdy everyone, and happy Friday. So am I alone or is anyone else feeling some of the shifts taking place just below the surface of the economy? Now maybe this…

Read on Substack
Aug 4, 2026

The State of Play: Receipts, Rates and Reacceleration

Happy Tuesday, everyone. So a funny thing happened on my way to hit the send button. Palantir and Caterpillar decided to blow out numbers and i figured that…

Read on Substack
Jul 31, 2026

The Regime Letter: Buy American, Eventually

Happy Friday, everyone! Now THAT was kooky week. We had a little war, a little bond market rebellion, some hedge fund drama, a little earnings drama, and…

Read on Substack
Jul 27, 2026

The Monday State of Play: The Yen Threw a Punch. Nobody Flinched.

Happy Monday, everyone! Now I know what you’re thinking, “what the heck does the yen have to do with me?” and i totally understand that. The yen usually isn’t…

Read on Substack
Jul 20, 2026

The Monday State of Play: The Market Can’t Pick a Story

Happy Monday, everyone. Hope you all had a fantastic weekend and caught at least some of the World Cup final between Spain and Argentina, because that one got…

Read on Substack
Jul 13, 2026

The Monday State of Play: The Ceasefire Had a Short Shelf Life

Thanks for reading! for free to receive new posts and support my work. Happy Monday, everyone! Well, that didn’t take long. The ceasefire is already over, the…

Read on Substack
Jul 10, 2026

The Regime Letter: From Wall Street to Main Street

Howdy everyone! Hope you’re all enjoying the part of the cycle where everyone’s portfolio looks smart and nobody’s paycheck does. That pretty much captures the…

Read on Substack
Jul 6, 2026

The State of Play: Euphoria Meets the Plumbing

Trump rang the opening bell from the Oval Office this morning alongside the heads of the NYSE and Nasdaq, promoted the new Trump Accounts for children, and…

Read on Substack
Jun 29, 2026

The State of Play: A Short Week With a Long Fuse

Happy Monday, everyone. We’re getting off to a solid start, but this is one of those short weeks where the calendar looks lighter than the actual risk. Labor…

Read on Substack
Jun 27, 2026

The Regime Letter: Studying the Wreckage Without Buying the Wreck

Howdy everyone, Well, that was a week. A little bit of everything, and I’m not sure we’re all that much changed from where we were a week ago. So grab your…

Read on Substack
Jun 22, 2026

The State of Play: The Rotation Under the Hood

The Index Looks Tired, But the Tape Is Getting More Interesting Howdy everyone! Hope you all had a fantastic weekend. So I spent some time thinking about…

Read on Substack
Jun 15, 2026

The State of Play: The Fed Week Reset

Happy Monday everyone! Lot’s going on this week so let’s jump right in. So we’re heading into Wednesday’s Fed decision with the market acting like it still…

Read on Substack
Jun 12, 2026

THE REGIME LETTER: The Market Is Looking for the Wrong Backstop

“The market tells you everything. You just have to listen.” Howdy everyone, ok so I’m back from a brief hiatus, energized and ready to go, and there’s no…

Read on Substack
Jun 1, 2026

The Monday State of Play

Happy Monday everyone! Ok, so I spent a little time trying to come up with scenario that could help me describe what I’m seeing in the markets today and this…

Read on Substack
May 26, 2026

The State of Play

So here we are coming out of Memorial Day weekend, and the market is trying to do two things at once. It’s trying to look through yet another geopolitical…

Read on Substack
May 22, 2026

Who Pays for the Buildout?

Who’s ready for a long weekend? I know I am, but while you are out doing what you do for the Memorial Day weekend how about a little light reading? So without…

Read on Substack
May 18, 2026

The State of Play: Higher Rates, Higher Stakes

So, not exactly a quiet little Monday. Howdy everyone, hope you had a great weekend. Lots to unpack this week, so let’s get started. Kevin Warsh gets sworn in…

Read on Substack